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Controlled ARC-AGI-3 study finds frontier LLMs barely improve their own harnesses

The paper studies whether frontier language models can autonomously build and improve a task harness for ARC-AGI-3, an interactive benchmark. Each model constructs a harness, acts through it on five development games, and revises the codebase twice, with every version evaluated on twenty held-out games. Performance is measured with Relative Human Action Efficiency (RHAE) and dollar-denominated inference cost. Across 27 lineages, scores range from zero to near-ceiling. Two revisions raise mean held-out RHAE by 2.80 points, with a 95% interval of [-1.44, 7.35]. The authors report that development gains overstate held-out improvement.

Open original source arxiv.org
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What the source says

The paper studies whether frontier language models can autonomously build and improve a task harness for ARC-AGI-3, an interactive benchmark. Each model constructs a harness, acts through it on five development games, and revises the codebase twice, with every version evaluated on twenty held-out games. Performance is measured with Relative Human Action Efficiency (RHAE) and dollar-denominated inference cost. Across 27 lineages, scores range from zero to near-ceiling. Two revisions raise mean held-out RHAE by 2.80 points, with a 95% interval of [-1.44, 7.35]. The authors report that development gains overstate held-out improvement.

Key findings from the stored brief

  • Two harness revisions raised mean held-out RHAE by only 2.80 points, with an interval of [-1.44, 7.35].
  • Development-game gains overstated improvement measured on held-out games.
  • Reductions in inference cost sometimes came at the expense of task performance.
  • Across 27 lineages, harness performance ranged from zero to near-ceiling scores.
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Source claims not independently checked; the study uses a two-revision protocol and a specific benchmark, so findings may not extend to other setups.

This is a source-based abstract, not independent validation of the source's claims.

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